- 规划与建设
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2026)05-0084-09
- 中图分类号：F49 文献标识码：B
- Doi：10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2026.05.012
- 项目基金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目（青年基金）“长江经济带产业生态安全效率的时空演化趋势与影响机理研究”（22Y J C630161）；江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目“长三角地区产业生态安全效率的演化趋势与影响机理研究” （2022SJZD016）。
- 作者简介：吴远征，博士，金陵科技学院商学院，副教授，硕士生导师；
鹿竞文，香港理工大学会计及金融学院会计专业，硕士研究生；
沈皆希，博士，金陵科技学院商学院，讲师；
倪杰，通信作者，博士，南京开放大学，校长，教授。
- 长三角中心城市群产业数字化发展的空间分异机制与协同路径研究——基于 Dagum 基尼系数的多阶段实证
- Spatial Differentiation Mechanisms and Coordinated Development Paths of Industrial Digitalization in the Central Cities of the Yangtze River Delta: A Multi-Stage Empirical Analysis Based on the Dagum Gini Coeffi cient
- 吴远征 鹿竞文 沈皆希 倪杰
- WU Yuanzheng LU Jingwen SHEN Jiexi NI Jie
- 摘要：
在数字经济重组全球要素资源的背景下，长三角作为国家现代化建设先导区，面临着发展不平衡、行业“数字鸿沟”等挑战。文章以长三角中心城市群为研究对象，系统探讨了产业数字化发展的空间分异特征及区域对比分析。研究采用 2012—2023 年面板数据，覆盖上海、江苏、浙江、安徽等省份（直辖市）的 27 个中心城市，运用Critic 权重法和 Dagum 分解基尼系数法对政策布局期（2012—2015 年）、迅速成长期（2016—2019 年）和深度融合期（2020—2023 年）3 个阶段的产业数字化发展进行了分析。研究发现：产业数字化空间分布呈“东北—西南”梯度递减格局，创新要素流动受壁垒阻碍，导致“数字鸿沟”；存在“核心塌陷—边缘跃升”悖论现象，如铜陵通过“产业大脑 + 政策特区”实现跃升，形成“产业数字化孤峰”；全局差异呈倒 U 形演化，组内差异主导波动，省际差异主要源于安徽省与其他省份的差距。基于此，文章提出了促进长三角产业数字化协同发展的路径：破除创新要素流动壁垒，构建“梯度辐射—多极联动”发展轴带；创新“核心激活—边缘赋能”机制，强化省会城市考核与场景开放；深化制度型协同治理，避免“一刀切”政策。研究为长三角产业数字化协同发展与区域一体化提供了理论支持和政策参考。 - 关键词：
长三角中心城市群；产业数字化；空间分异；协同路径 - Abstract: Against the backdrop of the digital economy reshaping the global allocation of factor resources, the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), as a leading region for China’s modernization, faces challenges such as uneven development and sectoral digital divides. Focusing on the core cities of the YRD, this study systematically examines the spatial disparities and regional heterogeneity of industrial digitalization. Using panel data from 2012 to 2023 covering 27 central cities across Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, the study employs the Critic weighting method and the Dagum gini coefficient decomposition to analyze three developmental stages: the policy deployment phase (2012–2015), the rapid growth phase (2016–2019), and the deep integration phase (2020–2023). The results reveal that the spatial distribution of industrial digitalization exhibits a northeast–southwest gradient decline. Barriers to the mobility of innovation factors have hindered resource flows, thereby contributing to the persistence of a “digital divide”. A paradoxical pattern of “core collapse–peripheral leapfrogging” is identified, exemplified by cities such as Tongling, which achieved rapid advancement through initiatives such as “industrial brain” platforms and policy experimentation zones, forming a “industrial digitalization isolated peak”. At the aggregate level, overall disparities follow an inverted U-shaped trajectory over time, with intra-regional differences dominating the observed variation, while inter-provincial disparities are largely driven by the gap between Anhui and the other provinces. Based on these findings, the study proposes several policy pathways to promote coordinated development of industrial digitalization in the YRD. These include removing barriers to the flow of innovation factors and constructing a “gradient diffusion–multi-polar linkage” development axis; innovating mechanisms of “core activation–peripheral empowerment” by strengthening performance evaluation in provincial capitals and expanding application scenarios; and deepening institutional coordination to avoid one-size-fits-all policy approaches. This study provides theoretical support and policy implications for advancing coordinated industrial digitalization and regional integration in the Yangtze River Delta.
- Key words: Yangtze River Delta central city cluster; industrial digitalization; spatial differentiation; coordination pathways