- 规划与建设
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2026)05-0061-08
- 中图分类号：TU98 文献标识码：B
- Doi：10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2026.05.009
- 项目基金：国家自然科学基金项目（42571265）；教育部人文社 科规划项目（23YJAZH028）；广东省自然科学基金项目（2024A1515011291）。
- 作者简介：谢涤湘，广东工业大学建筑与城市规划学院，教授；
司焱，广东工业大学建筑与城市规划学院，硕士研究生；
范建红，通信作者，广东工业大学建筑与城市规划学院，教授。
- 县域新型城镇化与乡村振兴的耦合协调研究——基于广东省县域的实证研究
- Research on Coupling and Coordination of County’s New Urbanization and Rural Revitalization: An Empirical Study of Counties in Guangdong Province
- 谢涤湘 司焱 范建红
- XIE Dixiang SI Yan FAN Jianhong
- 摘要：
文章以 2015—2021 年广东省县域相关数据为样本，通过构建新型城镇化与乡村振兴评价指标体系，运用熵值法、耦合协调模型、地理探测器等方法，对广东省 57 个县域新型城镇化及乡村振兴发展水平指数的时间序列演变、空间差异、耦合协调度及影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明：①广东省县域新型城镇化发展水平指数整体呈现增长趋势，有 14 个县域出现不同程度的发展水平指数降低现象，在省域空间分布上呈现“中部高、周边低”的特征。②广东省县域乡村振兴发展水平指数整体呈现增长态势，有 11 个县出现小幅度的发展倒退现象，在省域空间上呈现均衡分布的特征。③广东省县域新型城镇化与乡村振兴的耦合协调度整体呈现缓慢增长趋势，有 28 个县出现轻微程度的下降，研究期内全省县域耦合协调类型绝大部分处于濒临失调和轻度失调状态。④广东省县域新型城镇化与乡村振兴耦合协调度的影响因素，主要为经济城镇化、生活富裕、治理有效以及乡风文明层面对其影响度较大。研究对于我国城乡协调发展研究、广东省“百县千镇万村高质量发展工程”等工作推进及相关政策制定有一定的指导意义。 - 关键词：
县域；新型城镇化；乡村振兴；耦合协调；地理探测器 - Abstract: Using county-level data from Guangdong province covering the period 2015-2021, this study constructs an evaluation index system for new urbanization and rural revitalization, and employs the entropy method, the coupling coordination model, and geographic detector techniques to conduct an empirical analysis of the temporal evolution, spatial disparities, coupling coordination degree, and influencing factors of the development indices of these two processes across 57 counties in Guangdong province. The results indicate that: (1) The overall development index of new urbanization in Guangdong’s counties showed an upward trend, although 14 counties experienced declines to varying degrees; spatially, the pattern was characterized by relatively high levels in the central part of the province and lower levels in the surrounding areas. (2) The overall development index of rural revitalization also exhibited steady growth, although 11 counties showed slight regression; in spatial terms, its distribution was relatively balanced across the province. (3) The coupling coordination degree between new urbanization and rural revitalization displayed a slow but overall upward trend, while 28 counties registered slight declines; during the study period, most counties remained at the stage of near-disorder or mild disorder in terms of coupling coordination. (4) The main factors affecting the coupling coordination degree were economic urbanization, living affluence, effective governance, and cultural advancement in rural areas, all of which exerted relatively strong explanatory power. This study provides useful implications for research on coordinated urban-rural development in China, for advancing policy initiatives such as Guangdong province’s “High-Quality Development Project for Hundreds of Counties, Thousands of Towns, and Myriads of Villages”, and for the formulation of related policies.
- Key words: country; new urbanization; rural revitalization; coupling coordination; geographic detector