- 全球金融危机对中国经济的影响及应对
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2009)03-0021-08
- 中图分类号：F293 文献标识码：A
- 作者简介：倪鹏飞，中国社会科学院财贸所城市与房地产研究室主任，研究员。
- 金融危机冲击下的中国房地产——2008-2009年中国房地产市场分析与预测
- China Real Estate under the Influence the Financial Crisis:Market Analysis and Prediction of China Real Estate, 2008-2009
- 倪鹏飞
- NI Peng-fei
- 摘要：
房地产是周期性波动发展的，巨大外部冲击将使房地产周期变得不“规范”。本文运用房地产周期理论，近期的有关数据，结合房地产影响因素的分析，指出，由于全球金融危机充满不确定性，房地产市场存在多方博弈。2009 年及未来一段时间房地产市场最有可能的发展趋势是：衰退加快，复苏提前。本文最后提出调控房地产的政策建议。 - 关键词：
房地产；金融危机；预测 - Abstract: Real estate development is periodically
fluctuated, and the great external
impacts make the real estate periodicity
informal. By analyzing factors
that affect real estate periodicity, this
paper claims that the decline will be fast,
the recovery will shift to an earlier date
in real estate periodic development next,
because the global financial crisis is uncertain
and there are multi-player games
in the real estate market. Finally, the
regulation and control measures to the
real estate market are given.
- Key words: real estate; financial crisis;