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  • 规划与建设
  • 文章编号:1009-6000(2022)10-0073-08
  • 中图分类号:F591.99    文献标识码:B
  • Doi:10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2022.10.011
  • 项目基金:湖南省自然科学基金项目(2022J J30387);国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(21FGLB070)。
  • 作者简介:贺小荣,湖南师范大学旅游学院,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为旅游经济理论; 夏凡,湖南师范大学旅游学院,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为旅游地理学; 彭坤杰,通信作者,湖南师范大学旅游学院,博士研究生,主要研究方向为旅游地理学。
  • 新型城镇化与旅游产业协同发展的时空演化及驱动因素 ——以长三角城市群为例
  • Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Synergistic Development of New Urbanization and Tourism Industry: A Case Study of Yangtze River Delta City Cluster
  • 浏览量:
  • 贺小荣 夏凡 彭坤杰
  • HE Xiaorong XIA Fan PENG Kunjie
  • 摘要:
    作为我国城镇化水平最高的区域之一,探究新型城镇化旅游产业协同发展对于实现长三角地区一体化发展具有重要现实意义。构建新型城镇化旅游产业耦合协调指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型、马尔可夫链及地理加权回归模型,分析2009—2019 年长三角城市群新型城镇化旅游产业耦合协调度水平、时空分异格局、空间动态演进及驱动机制。研究发现:(1)2009—2019 年长三角城市群新型城镇化水平和旅游产业发展水平均有提升,且具备明显的空间非均衡性;(2)2009—2019 年长三角城市群新型城镇化旅游产业耦合协调指数有所提升,总体水平由初级协调转至中级协调,且具有显著的空间自相关性,热点区以上海市为中心扩散,冷点区集中在皖北地区,高水平协同发展地区自身锁定效应明显,且对低水平协同城市存在正向溢出效应;(3)基础设施建设、消费水平、政府调控和对外开放共同驱动新型城镇化旅游产业协同发展,且各影响系数存在空间差异。以上结果表明,探索新型城镇化旅游产业协同发展时空演化驱动因素能为长三角城市群有关部门推进二者协同可持续发展提供一定的学术参考。
  • 关键词:
    新型城镇化旅游产业时空演化驱动因素协同发展
  • Abstract: As one of the regions with the highest level of urbanization in China, it is of great practical signifi cance to explore the synergistic development of new urbanization and tourism industry to realize the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta region. A coupling and coordination index system of new urbanization and tourism industry is constructed, and the coupling and coordination degree model, Markov chain and geographically weighted regression model are used to analyze the level of coupling and coordination degree of new urbanization and tourism industry, spatial and temporal divergence pattern, spatial dynamic evolution and driving mechanism of the Yangtze River Delta city cluster from 2009 to 2019. It is found that: (1) The level of new urbanization and tourism industry development of cities in the Yangtze River Delta region have increased from 2009 to 2019, and have obvious spatial non-equilibrium. (2) The coupling coordination index of new urbanization and tourism industry in the Yangtze River Delta region has increased from 2009 to 2019, and the overall level has shifted from primary coordination to intermediate coordination. and has significant spatial autocorrelation, with hot area spreads with Shanghai as the center, and the cold spot area is concentrated in northern Anhui. the high level synergistic development area itself has obvious locking eff ect and positive spillover eff ect on low level synergistic cities. (3) Infrastructure construction, consumption level, government regulation and control, and opening to the outside world jointly drive the synergistic development of new urbanization and tourism industry, and there are spatial diff erences in each infl uence coeffi cient. The above results show that exploring the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of the synergistic development of new urbanization and tourism industry can provide some academic references for the relevant departments of the Yangtze River Delta city cluster to promote the synergistic and sustainable development of the two.
  • Key words: new urbanization; tourism industry; spatial and temporal evolution; driving factors; synergistic development
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