- 规划与建设
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2025)08-0088-09
- 中图分类号：TU984 文献标识码：B
- Doi：10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2025.08.012
- 项目基金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目（22FJLB031）。
- 作者简介：唐常春，长沙理工大学建筑学院，教授，博士生导师，研究方向为经济地理、城乡规划与区域发展；
欧阳千里，中南大学建筑与艺术学院，硕士研究生；
唐嘉璐，武汉大学经济与管理学院，本科生；
朱素文，长沙理工大学建筑学院，本科生；
赵紫莹，长沙理工大学建筑学院，本科生。
- 生活圈视角下轨道交通对沿线住宅价格的影响研究——以长沙地铁典型线路为例
- Analysis of the Impact of Rail Transit on the Residential Prices along the Line from the Perspective of Living Circle: A Case Study of Changsha Metro Typical Lines
- 唐常春 欧阳千里 唐嘉璐 朱素文 赵紫莹
- TANG Changchun OUYANG Qianli TANG Jialu ZHU Suwen ZHAO Ziying
- 摘要：
深化城市轨道交通与生活圈耦合影响研究，可为新时期轨道 TOD 生活圈规划和发展提供指导。文章在理论分析基础上，以中部省会城市长沙新近开通运营的地铁线路为例，综合采用多源大数据，运用特征价格模型和分位数回归模型，基于生活圈视角解析轨道交通对沿线住宅价格的影响机制及对不同价位住宅的影响差异，并开展不同地铁线路影响的比较研究。研究结果表明：①轨道交通开通运营前后对沿线住宅价格的影响程度相对于规划建设期更为显著，对沿线住宅价格产生了明显的“廊道效应”，以地铁站为圆心 5 分钟、10 分钟和 15 分钟生活圈范围内的住宅价格增值幅度依次递减，5 分钟生活圈内住宅增值幅度最高，达到 7％。②生活圈公共服务设施集中程度等邻里因素对房价呈现正相关影响，其中教育设施配套条件成为购房者考量的重要因素。同时结构因素对房价具有稳定的正向影响，其中容积率与物业服务水平影响较为显著。③不同生活圈范围内轨道交通对各个价位住宅价格的影响均呈现“W”形变化特征，对中价位和极高价位住宅的影响更大。不同价位住宅消费者关注的生活圈配套设施类型存在明显差异。④不同轨道交通线路对沿线住宅价格的影响程度不同，这与沿线站点周边生活圈的用地功能构成和公共服务设施配置等差异有着密切关系。轨道交通与生活圈设施对沿线住宅价格及空间发展产生重要复合影响，应基于影响规律加强城市轨道交通与生活圈设施一体化规划和融合建设。 - 关键词：
城市轨道交通；住宅价格；生活圈；特征价格模型；分位数回归；长沙 - Abstract: The study on the coupling impact of urban rail transit and living circles can provide guidance for the planning and development of transit-oriented development (TOD) living circles in the new era. Based on theoretical analysis, this article takes the recently operational metro lines in Changsha, a central provincial capital city, as a case study. It comprehensively employs multi-source big data and uses the hedonic price model and quantile regression model to analyze the impact mechanism of rail transit on residential prices along the lines from the perspective of living circles, as well as the differential impacts on residences of different price levels, and conducts a comparative study of the impacts of different metro lines. The results show: ① The impact of rail transit on residential prices before and after operation is more significant compared to the planning and construction phase, generating an evident “corridor effect” on residential prices along the lines. The price appreciation of residences within the 5-minute, 10-minute, and 15-minute living circle ranges centered on metro stations decreases sequentially, with the highest appreciation rate of 7% within the 5-minute living circle. ② Neighborhood factors, such as the concentration of public service facilities in the living circle, have a positive correlation with housing prices, with educational facilities being a key consideration for homebuyers. Meanwhile, structural factors have a stable positive impact on housing prices, with plot ratio and property service levels having a more significant influence. ③ The impact of rail transit on residential prices across different price levels within various living circle ranges exhibits a “W-shaped” variation pattern, with greater impacts on mid-priced and extremely high-priced residences. The types of living circle facilities that consumers of different-priced residences focus on vary significantly. ④ The impact of different rail transit lines on residential prices along their routes varies, closely related to differences in land use functions and public service facility configurations in the living circles around the stations. Rail transit and living circle facilities have a significant composite impact on residential prices and spatial development along the lines, necessitating integrated planning and development of urban rail transit and living circle facilities based on these impact patterns.
- Key words: urban rail transit; residential price; living circle; hedonic price model; quantile regression; Changsha