- 规划与建设
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2022)10-0040-07
- 中图分类号：K902 文献标识码：B
- Doi：10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2022.10.006
- 项目基金：国家自然科学基金项目（41571118）；中山大学中央高校基本科研业务费青年教师团队（22qntd2001）。
- 作者简介：陈作任，广州市城市规划勘测设计研究院，工程师，硕士研究生；郎嵬，中山大学地理科学与规划学院、中国区域协调发展与乡村建设研究院，副教授，注册城乡规划师；李郇，通信作者，中山大学地理科学与规划学院、中国区域协调发展与乡村建设研究院，教授，博导，注册城乡规划师。
- 中国收缩城市的全要素生产率实证研究 ——基于DEA 模型的Malmquist 指数法
- An Empirical Study on Shrinking Cities from Total Factor Productivity Perspective in China: Based on Malmquist Index of DEA Model
- 陈作任 郎嵬 李郇
- CHEN Zuoren LANG Wei LI Xun
- 摘要：
为研究中国收缩城市的经济增长动力，文章基于DE A 模型的Ma l mquist 指数法定量研究分析其全要素生产率增长率及分解，并进行了显著性检验。研究表明：中国收缩城市在收缩过程中仍普遍保持着经济增长动力，主要原因是技术效率提升；但是技术进步效率普遍出现下滑，资源型收缩城市增长动力持续性不足的现象尤其突出。中国的城市收缩现象因而表现出“普遍的经济增长、城市空间扩张与局部的常住人口流失并存”的本土化特征。在经济增长动力视角下，文章基于制度变迁构建了一个适用于中国收缩现实的分析框架，较好地实现了研究成果本土化的深入挖掘。 - 关键词：
收缩城市；全要素生产率；DEA 模型；Malmquist 指数法；空间测度 - Abstract: In order to study the economic growth dynamics of China¡¯s shrinking cities, this paper quantitatively analyzes the growth rate and decomposition of total factor productivity based on the Malmquist index method based on the DEA model, and conducts a signifi cance test. The research shows that China¡¯s shrinking cities still generally maintain economic growth momentum during the shrinking process, mainly due to the improvement of technical effi ciency; however, the effi ciency of technological progress has generally declined, and the phenomenon of insuffi cient growth momentum in resource-based shrinking cities is particularly prominent. The phenomenon of urban shrinkage in China thus shows the localized characteristics of ¡°general economic growth, urban spatial expansion and local loss of permanent population¡±. From the perspective of economic growth dynamics, the article builds an analytical framework suitable for China¡¯s shrinking reality based on institutional changes, which better realizes the in-depth excavation of the localization of research results.
- Key words: shrinking city; total factor productivity; DEA model; Malmquist index; spatial analysis